| FOREX TRADING BASICS Using fundamental and technical analyses, the individual trader
attempts to determine trends in the price movements of currencies, and
by buying or selling currency pairs, attempts to gain profits. The most
often traded currencies, the major currencies, are those of countries
with stable governments and respected central banks that target low
inflation. Currencies that often trade along with the U.S. Dollar
include the Japanese Yen, the British Pound, the Swiss Franc and now
the new European currency - Euro are therefore the most liquid, unlike
"exotic" currencies which are often tightly regulated and simply too
illiquid. Countries suffering political instability or economic
turmoil, and who use monetary expansion to fuel the economy or monetary
devaluation to increase exports, usually have relatively higher
inflation and weaker currencies.
Traders can generate profits (or losses) whether a currency is rising
or falling by buying one currency, which is anticipated to gain value
against another currency or selling one currency, which is anticipated
to lose value against another currency. Taking a long position is one
in which a trader buys a currency at one price and aims to sell it
later at a higher price. Alternatively, a short position is one in
which the trader sells a currency that he anticipates to depreciate and
aims to buy the currency back later at a lower price. Buying or selling
currencies in response to economic or political events which occur are
reactive, whereas buying or selling currencies on anticipated events is
speculative. The bulk of currency activity is generated by market
participants anticipating the direction of currency prices. In general,
the value of a currency versus other currencies is a reflection of the
condition of that country's economy with respect to the other major
economies.
Foreign exchange is a continuous global market, providing participants
with 24-hour market access. The only breaks in trading occur during a
brief period over the weekend. Although foreign exchange is the most
liquid of all markets, the fact that it is an international market and
trading 24-hours a day, the time of day can have a direct impact on the
liquidity available for trading a particular currency. The major dealer
centers and time zones are that of Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New York.
Therefore, traders must consider which players are in the market, since
in the modern interconnected financial world, events that occur at any
hour, in any part of the globe, can affect some or all parts of the
investment community. In addition, although trading in the "spot"
market, the difference in time zones accounts for a two-day settlement
period. The 24-hour nature of the foreign exchange market is a
substantial attraction to many of its participants.
A proficient trader employs both technical and fundamental analyses
prior to entering any trades. Fundamentals include watching the world
news, and particularly studying variables that may cause the market
price of a currency to fluctuate, including monetary and fiscal policy,
political conditions, trade patterns, economic indicators (i.e. GDP,
CPI, PPI), interest rates, inflation and unemployment numbers. Faith in
a government's ability to stand behind its currency also impacts
currency price. From time to time, central banks use intervention as an
effective method of enforcing market adherence to their desired
exchange rate comfort zones. Technical analysis, which has grown
dramatically in popularity in the foreign exchange market since the
1980s, involves computer charting, using trend lines, support and
resistance levels, reversals, and numerous patterns and analyses to
study the behavior patterns of market crowds to track and identify
buying and selling opportunities. Over long historical periods,
currencies have displayed identifiable trends and patterns.
It is the trader's option to take either a conservative or a more
risk-taking approach. Employing a conservative approach, the trader
establishes and liquidates positions quickly and efficiently to
capitalize on even the slightest of price fluctuations, using limit and
stop orders to manage risk. A limit order is placed to ensure a
position is established once a price level in the market has been
reached.* A stop order is placed to automatically liquidate a position
at a chosen price level in order to limit potential loss on a
particular trade. By placing orders in relation to technical support
and resistance levels, the trader may profit incrementally from the
minor price fluctuations that occur each day.
* Under volatile market conditions, a broker may not be able to execute
a limit or stop order at the exact price specified by the trader. CMS
International’s own policy, however, is to attempt to honor all stop
and limit orders up to 10 lots in size.
Why choose CMS International?
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